A Clearer Signal Emerging: Central Texas Real Estate Market Stabilizes in Mid‑2025
If you’ve been wondering whether the Austin-area housing market is finally finding its footing—well, the data are saying yes. Market indicators from Unlock MLS show that Central Texas is transitioning into a more stable phase midway through 2025 .
🏡 What the Data Tell Us
At Open House Austin, we’re watching several key trends:
Sales Volume Cooling Off: Home sales across Central Texas are down slightly compared to early‑2024—a predictable slow-down after prior boom years .
More Inventory, More Options: Listings and active inventory levels have surged—nearly 60–70% above 2019 levels—putting more power in buyers’ hands .
Prices Holding, Not Falling: While sales have dipped modestly, median prices remain relatively steady—no steep drops, just normalization .
Why This Matters to You
Buyers: More listings means real choice—and since prices aren’t sliding wildly, negotiation matters more than ever. Buyers can be strategic and come out ahead.
Sellers: Yes, the fervor of 2021–22 is over—but steady demand and equity gains still make this a viable market. Pricing right is the name of the game.
Our Team’s Perspective: At Open House Austin, we see this as the moment when markets decelerate—delivering clarity. No more panic over price dips, but also no runaway hype. It’s a realistic playing field.
Factor In: Broader Forces
It’s not just a local moment. Nationwide, housing inventory has rebounded to some of the highest levels in years, and price growth is decelerating in markets that saw rapid pandemic-time surges . But Central Texas, with booming growth and strong job markets, is pacing its own path forward.
Bottom Line — A Practical, Balanced Outlook
Here’s the distilled news:
For Sale Status in Mid-2025 Home Sales:
Modestly down year-over-year—slow growth, not collapse
Listing Inventory
Up sharply, giving buyers a better shot
Median Prices
Holding firm or dipping slightly—not the roller coaster of yesteryear
We’re not back to 2019 affordability levels—but we’re not in a frothy bubble either. For buyers, it’s time to negotiate smart. For sellers, pricing and staging still win. And for local agents like us, it’s time to educate clients based on real, current data—not headlines.
So yes—stability has returned. At Open House Austin, we’re here to help you navigate it with clarity, strategy, and a little Texas grit. Markets may wobble, but our commitment doesn’t.
Source: Business Journal article Market indicators point to stability in the Central Texas housing market, published July 29, 2025 .
Additional Context from Regional News
Austin’s inventory surge reached near-record increases—up 60–70% since 2019—and 26% of listings saw price cuts, making it one of the nation’s top markets for buyer leverage .
Local economists still expect tight mortgage rates (6–7%) and affordability challenges—even with higher supply—but a more balanced market overall .
Curious how these trends are affecting specific neighborhoods or price ranges? We’re happy to dig deeper with you. Book a call with our team here.
Not quite ready to jump on the phone? Attend a workshop here.
